Billy Lucas is a Explosive Back for Liberty. Billy's 2024 season ranks in the 15th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 127 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2019 | 213 | 0.470 | 4.7 | 100.1 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsCampbell | W41-24 | — | 17 | 78 | 4.6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 2 | @New Mexico State | W30-24 | -19.0 | 8 | 23 | 2.9 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 3 | vsUTEP | W28-10 | -22.7 | 21 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Car 3 · Rush Yds 57 · Avg 19.0 · Rush TD 0
| 104 |
| 5.0 |
| 3 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 0.17 |
| 4 | vsEast Carolina | W35-24 | -1.0 | 11 | 59 | 5.4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.12 |
| 7 | vsFlorida International | W31-24 | -12.1 | 7 | 39 | 5.6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 9 | @Kennesaw State | L24-27 | -25.1 | 11 | 52 | 4.7 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.02 |
| 10 | vsJacksonville State | L21-31 | -1.0 | 6 | 23 | 3.8 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.18 |
| 12 | @Massachusetts | W35-34 | -21.9 | 11 | 95 | 8.6 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.31 |
| 13 | vsWestern Kentucky | W38-21 | -2.2 | 19 | 131 | 6.9 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.52 |
| 14 | @Sam Houston | L18-20 | -6.9 | 9 | 59 | 6.6 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.26 |
| 1 | vsBuffalo | L7-26 | -4.0 | 3 | 57 | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1.24 |
