David Wells Stats, EPA & Player Profile — San Diego State

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs TE peers

Player type

Red Zone Weapon TE

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.47 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 2.76 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Air Force (SP+ -11).

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
3	vsStanford	W20-17	15.8	3	30	10.0	1	14	1.77
4	@Air Force	W28-24	-11.0	1	28	28.0	1	28	2.76
5	vsNorthern Illinois	W34-28	-1.4	1	23	23.0	0	23	0.82
6	@UNLV	W41-10	-14.5	1	2	2.0	0	2	-0.49
7	vsBoise State	L14-31	9.1	1	9	9.0	0	9	0.63
9	@Hawai'i	W28-7	-19.7	1	30	30.0	0	30	1.41
12	vsNevada	W42-23	-16.4	1	11	11.0	0	11	1.91

Snap-share proxy

Overall

2.1%

Passing plays

5.9%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

2.8%

Passing downs

0.6%

EPA by down type

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Plays

Usage

vs NevadaWk 12

EPA 1.9

Rec 1 · Rec Yds 11 · Avg 11.0 · Rec TD 0