Joshua Kelley is a 2-year Featured Back for UCLA. Joshua's 2019 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 227 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
| Hassan Haskins | Michigan | 2021 | 280 | 0.380 | 4.8 | 106.4 |
| James Flanders | Tulsa | 2016 | 266 | 0.390 | 4.9 | 103.7 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vsSan Diego State | L14-23 | 2.0 | 15 | 53 | 3.5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 3 | vsOklahoma | L14-48 | 22.9 | 18 | 51 | 2.8 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.22 |
| 4 | @Washington State | W67-63 | 11.1 | 20 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 19 · Rush Yds 76 · Avg 4.0 · Rush TD 1
| 90 |
| 4.5 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| 0.13 |
| 5 | @Arizona | L17-20 | -8.0 | 27 | 127 | 4.7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 6 | vsOregon State | L31-48 | -0.7 | 21 | 74 | 3.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 8 | @Stanford | W34-16 | -4.7 | 18 | 176 | 9.8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 9 | vsArizona State | W42-32 | 6.3 | 34 | 164 | 4.8 | 4 | — | — | — | 0.25 |
| 10 | vsColorado | W31-14 | -4.1 | 23 | 126 | 5.5 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.15 |
| 12 | @Utah | L3-49 | 19.5 | 19 | 78 | 4.1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 13 | @USC | L35-52 | 13.1 | 15 | 45 | 3.0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.03 |
| 14 | vsCalifornia | L18-28 | -2.6 | 19 | 76 | 4.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.10 |
