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RJ Harvey

#7RJ Harvey

Line value
6.9 pts
NFL Draft Outlook1st Round· model estimate based on position rank

RJ Harvey is a 2-year Featured Back for UCF. RJ's 2024 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 239 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

2024 Production

Rushing
1577 Rush yards22 Rush TD232 Carries6.8 Yards/carry
Receiving
20 Receptions267 Rec yards3 Rec TD13.3 Yards/rec
Returns
3 Kick returns54 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency86th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.17 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.90 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs New Hampshire.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Blake CorumMichigan20222660.4506.5119.7
Tyler AllgeierBYU20212710.4406.3119.2
Dalvin CookFlorida State20152280.4505.8102.6
Bryce LoveStanford20172840.4606.7130.6
Samaje PerineOklahoma20142820.4306.8121.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs New Hampshire: +0.90 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Sam Houston: +0.73 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs TCU: +0.54 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Colorado: +0.11 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Florida: +0.62 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Cincinnati: +0.39 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Iowa State: +0.30 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs BYU: +0.39 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Arizona: +0.52 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Arizona State: +0.20 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs West Virginia: +0.42 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Utah: +0.44 EPA/play14
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsNew HampshireW57-31114212.921800.90
2vsSam HoustonW45-14-6.9191266.640.73
3@TCUW35-3410.8291806.2212910.54
5vsColoradoL21-488.116774.8049210.11
6@FloridaL13-2413.816754.7113500.62
7vsCincinnatiL13-19-0.117945.5023100.39
8@Iowa StateL35-3810.3251967.820.30
9vsBYUL24-3715.3161277.9221000.39
10vsArizonaW56-12-2.8221848.4321400.52
11@Arizona StateL31-359.4251275.1321000.20
13@West VirginiaL21-312.1161308.1221900.42
14vsUtahL14-287.7201196.0131910.44

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
30.3%
Passing plays
5.4%
Rushing plays
47.6%
Standard downs
35.3%
Passing downs
17.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.38
Passing downs
0.68
Pass / Rush EPA
1.01 / 0.38

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024
2023 — 2024 · 25 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2023UCF
4.3
0.37078.8
2024UCF
6.9
0.470+0.10113.7

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.