Army vs. Navy: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Dec 13, 8:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | 0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| NAVY | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (NAVY Elo 1575, ARMY Elo 1589) on a neutral field. That projects NAVY -2.7 (58% to win) — 3.3 points of value on ARMY versus the market line of -6.
Pregame Win Probability
Pick: NAVY · 6 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Offense
Defense
Key matchups · Pro
- NAVY rush offense (0.28 PPA) vs. ARMY rush defense (0.10 allowed) — edge NAVY.
- NAVY pass offense (0.46 PPA) vs. ARMY pass defense (0.29 allowed) — edge NAVY.
- ARMY pass offense (0.47 PPA) vs. NAVY pass defense (0.37 allowed) — edge ARMY.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
ARMY up 6 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,662 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Army vs. Navy?
Army 16, Navy 17.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (NAVY) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
Called it — I had NAVY pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.