Player Stat Projections · 2024

Projection = the player's per-game median this season; floor/ceiling = the 15th/85th percentile of their ACTUAL game-by-game results (real variance, not an assumed model). In-season this updates with recent form and the opponent's defense vs the position.

Passing yards Rushing yards Receiving yards

#	Player	Proj	vs D	Floor — Ceiling	TD/g	att/g
1	Kyle McCordSyracuse	355	—	323 404	2.62	45.5
2	Cameron WardMiami	346	—	266 401	3	34.9
3	Jaxson DartOle Miss	323	—	249 407	2.23	30.6
4	Chandler MorrisNorth Texas	314	—	202 441	2.58	42.4
5	Shedeur SandersColorado	310	—	249 398	2.85	36.7
6	Garrett NussmeierLSU	304	—	256 363	2.23	40.3
7	Miller MossUSC	293	—	222 330	2	40.2
8	Billy EdwardsMaryland	289	—	204 332	1.36	38.2
9	Dillon GabrielOregon	286	—	218 301	2.14	31.9
10	Josh HooverTCU	286	—	248 364	2.08	36.2
11	Fernando MendozaCalifornia	282	—	212 334	1.45	35.1
12	Carson BeckGeorgia	278	—	172 365	2.15	34.5
13	Behren MortonTexas Tech	274	—	209 361	2.25	38.6
14	Seth HeniganMemphis	272	—	199 329	1.92	36.7
15	Tyler ShoughLouisville	270	—	205 336	1.92	32.4
16	Katin HouserEast Carolina	269	—	97 311	2	27.2
17	Jordan McCloudTexas State	268	—	156 321	2.31	29.9
18	Ethan GarbersUCLA	267	—	170 291	1.45	33
19	Rocco BechtIowa State	266	—	201 278	1.79	32.6
20	Joey AguilarApp State	266	—	215 312	2.09	35.5
21	Caden VeltkampWestern Kentucky	262	—	150 301	1.92	29.9
22	Noah FifitaArizona	262	—	161 296	1.5	35.8
23	Kurtis RourkeIndiana	260	—	186 352	2.42	26.7
24	Nick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee	260	—	206 288	1.33	34.8
25	Cade KlubnikClemson	258	—	208 310	2.57	34.7
26	Walker EgetSan José State	256	—	40 390	1.18	29.8
27	Spencer PetrasUtah State	255	—	155 370	1.89	36.3
28	Jake GarciaEast Carolina	254	—	181 298	1.33	30.2
29	Owen McCownUTSA	254	—	192 348	1.92	35.9
30	John MateerWashington State	254	—	177 360	2.42	28.9
31	Sawyer RobertsonBaylor	253	—	184 326	2.33	30.7
32	Kevin JenningsSMU	251	—	140 307	1.64	27.2
33	Will RogersWashington	250	—	155 288	1.27	28.3
34	Connor BazelakBowling Green	250	—	170 305	1.38	30.9
35	Eli HolsteinPittsburgh	248	—	113 322	1.7	29
36	Jalen KitnaUAB	248	—	233 379	2.12	39.5
37	Sam LeavittArizona State	246	—	156 284	1.85	26.9
38	Will HowardOhio State	246	—	203 306	2.19	26.4
39	Brayden SchagerHawai'i	244	—	174 277	1.73	36.7
40	Maalik MurphyDuke	244	—	208 306	2.17	35.1

Floor/ceiling = 15th–85th percentile of the player's actual game-by-game results this season (real variance). Not a market prop quote. Source: CollegeFootballData box scores.