Fri, Aug 29, 11:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETH | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| FIU | 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
Pick: BETH · 52 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
FIU up 29 entering the 4th quarter. Across 527 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Bethune-Cookman 9, Florida International 42.
No — the model picked BETH, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
I had BETH pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.