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Bucknell vs. Air Force: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 7:30 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| AF | 14 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 49 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelBUCK 50% · AF 50%
Market consensusBUCK 4% · AF 96%
Pick: BUCK · 46 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
BUCK 4/10 scoring drives← own end zone →AF 6/9 scoring drives
AFPUNT5 pl, 21 yds· own 25Q1
BUCKPUNT7 pl, 33 yds· own 11Q1
AFTD6 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q1
BUCKPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 22Q1
AFTD5 pl, 61 yds· own 39Q1
BUCKTD11 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
AFTD11 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
BUCKINT5 pl, 23 yds· own 25Q2
AFTD1 pl, 62 yds· own 38Q2
BUCKPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q2
AFMISS13 pl, 47 yds· own 28Q2
BUCKEND3 pl, 20 yds· own 25Q2
BUCKTD4 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q3
BUCKPUNT3 pl, -5 yds· own 25Q3
AFTD1 pl, 8 yds· opp 8Q3
BUCKFG12 pl, 55 yds· own 25Q3
AFTD17 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
BUCKFG13 pl, 53 yds· own 25Q4
AFEND2 pl, -3 yds· own 25Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
AF up 32 entering the 4th quarter. Across 373 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
AF went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Bucknell vs. Air Force?
Bucknell 13, Air Force 49.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked BUCK, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I had BUCK pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.