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Central Arkansas vs. Missouri: Final Score & Recap
Thu, Aug 28, 11:30 PM
Memorial Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| MIZ | 9 | 17 | 14 | 21 | 61 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
MIZ (top)CENT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: MIZ 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
CENT 2/12 scoring drives← own end zone →MIZ 9/11 scoring drives
CENTPUNT4 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q1
MIZTD4 pl, 64 yds· own 36Q0
CENTPUNT7 pl, 25 yds· own 25Q1
MIZFG10 pl, 50 yds· own 18Q1
CENTPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q1
MIZFG14 pl, 35 yds· own 27Q1
CENTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 20Q2
MIZTD2 pl, 33 yds· opp 33Q2
CENTPUNT5 pl, 20 yds· own 25Q2
MIZTD15 pl, 99 yds· own 1Q2
CENTEND1 pl, -1 yds· own 33Q2
MIZTD7 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q3
CENTPUNT6 pl, 30 yds· own 15Q3
MIZTD7 pl, 99 yds· own 1Q3
CENTPUNT5 pl, 16 yds· own 16Q3
MIZPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 34Q3
CENTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 11Q4
MIZTD4 pl, 54 yds· own 46Q4
CENTFUM3 pl, -1 yds· own 15Q4
MIZTD4 pl, 14 yds· opp 14Q4
CENTTD12 pl, 49 yds· own 29Q4
CENTTD10 pl, 63 yds· own 37Q4
MIZEND1 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
MIZ up 40 entering the 4th quarter. Across 267 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
MIZ went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Central Arkansas vs. Missouri?
Central Arkansas 6, Missouri 61.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (MIZ) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had MIZ pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.