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Central Connecticut vs. UConn: Final Score & Recap

Sat, Aug 30, 6:00 PM

1359
Final
UConn logo
UConn
FBS Independents· Elo 1454
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
1234T
CENT733013
CONN1421101459

Gridpex Model Prediction

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Pregame Win Probability

Gridpex modelCENT 48% · CONN 52%
Market consensusCENT 5% · CONN 95%

Pick: CONN · 44 pts off the market line

Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.

Advanced Matchup — 2025

Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.

Drive-by-drive

CENT 3/13 scoring drives← own end zone →CONN 9/13 scoring drives
CONNDOWNS4 pl, -24 yds· own 29Q1
CENTTD2 pl, 5 yds· opp 5Q1
CONNTD6 pl, 88 yds· own 12Q1
CENTPUNT8 pl, 36 yds· own 25Q1
CONNTD10 pl, 92 yds· own 8Q1
CENTDOWNS8 pl, 48 yds· own 25Q1
CONNTD1 pl, 73 yds· own 27Q2
CENTPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q2
CONNTD5 pl, 50 yds· midfieldQ2
CENTFG10 pl, 72 yds· own 25Q2
CONNPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 27Q2
CENTPUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 22Q2
CONNTD7 pl, 52 yds· own 48Q2
CENTEND1 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q2
CENTPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q3
CONNTD4 pl, 60 yds· own 40Q3
CENTFG12 pl, 63 yds· own 25Q3
CONNFG8 pl, 62 yds· own 27Q3
CENTPUNT4 pl, 17 yds· own 25Q3
CONNTD9 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q3
CENTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q4
CONNMISS5 pl, 48 yds· own 35Q4
CENTPUNT5 pl, 23 yds· own 20Q4
CONNTD10 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q4
CENTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 37Q4
CONNEND1 pl, -1 yds· own 20Q4

Comparable Situations — historical outcomes

CONN up 32 entering the 4th quarter. Across 373 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%
CONN went on to win
A near-lock historically

FAQ

What was the final score of Central Connecticut vs. UConn?

Central Connecticut 13, UConn 59.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (CONN) was correct.

Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.

🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take

Called it — I had CONN pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.

Game thread

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Model estimates for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Data: CollegeFootballData.