← All games
Eastern Kentucky vs. Louisville: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 7:00 PM
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAST | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| LOU | 21 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 51 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelEAST 22% · LOU 78%
Market consensusEAST 5% · LOU 95%
Pick: LOU · 17 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
EAST 3/12 scoring drives← own end zone →LOU 8/12 scoring drives
LOUTD10 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q1
EASTTD3 pl, -5 yds· own 46Q1
EASTPUNT3 pl, -7 yds· own 25Q1
LOUTD10 pl, 79 yds· own 21Q1
EASTPUNT6 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q1
LOUTD3 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
EASTPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 7Q2
LOUTD1 pl, 30 yds· opp 30Q2
EASTPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q2
LOUTD10 pl, 67 yds· own 33Q2
EASTPUNT4 pl, 26 yds· own 25Q2
LOUTD1 pl, 11 yds· own 10Q2
LOUINT4 pl, 22 yds· own 25Q2
EASTEND1 pl, -6 yds· opp 46Q2
EASTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q3
LOUPUNT5 pl, 17 yds· own 24Q3
EASTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 16Q3
LOUTD4 pl, 48 yds· opp 48Q3
EASTPUNT8 pl, 35 yds· own 25Q3
LOUINT7 pl, 27 yds· own 3Q3
EASTTD4 pl, 16 yds· opp 16Q3
LOUFG11 pl, 70 yds· own 25Q4
EASTFG13 pl, 69 yds· own 10Q4
LOUEND2 pl, -3 yds· opp 35Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
LOU up 41 entering the 4th quarter. Across 198 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
LOU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Eastern Kentucky vs. Louisville?
Eastern Kentucky 17, Louisville 51.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (LOU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had LOU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.