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Holy Cross vs. Northern Illinois: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 7:30 PM
Huskie Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOLY | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17 |
| NIU | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 19 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelHOLY 46% · NIU 54%
Market consensusHOLY 20% · NIU 80%
Pick: NIU · 27 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
HOLY 2/12 scoring drives← own end zone →NIU 3/12 scoring drives
NIUPUNT6 pl, 10 yds· own 27Q1
HOLYPUNT8 pl, 26 yds· own 9Q1
NIUFG8 pl, 63 yds· own 34Q1
HOLYINT4 pl, 18 yds· own 30Q1
NIUPUNT9 pl, 26 yds· own 32Q1
HOLYDOWNS10 pl, 66 yds· own 2Q2
NIUDOWNS5 pl, -19 yds· own 32Q2
HOLYFG4 pl, -2 yds· opp 13Q2
NIUFG12 pl, 71 yds· own 8Q2
HOLYEND1 pl, -1 yds· own 41Q2
HOLYMISS4 pl, 6 yds· opp 29Q3
NIUINT5 pl, 28 yds· own 23Q3
HOLYPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 17Q3
NIUPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 43Q3
HOLYPUNT6 pl, 14 yds· own 30Q3
NIUPUNT7 pl, 19 yds· own 25Q3
HOLYMISS7 pl, 10 yds· opp 37Q3
NIUPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 27Q4
HOLYTD4 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q4
HOLYPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 20Q4
NIUTD8 pl, 61 yds· own 39Q4
NIUPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 23Q4
HOLYDOWNS4 pl, 6 yds· own 39Q4
NIUUncateg5 pl, 7 yds· opp 45Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
NIU up 3 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,457 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
61%
NIU went on to win
A genuinely vulnerable lead — comebacks are common
FAQ
What was the final score of Holy Cross vs. Northern Illinois?
Holy Cross 17, Northern Illinois 19.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (NIU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had NIU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.