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Idaho State vs. UNLV: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 23, 8:00 PM
Allegiant Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDAH | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| UNLV | 0 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
UNLV (top)IDAH (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UNLV 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
IDAH 5/14 scoring drives← own end zone →UNLV 6/14 scoring drives
IDAHFG10 pl, 67 yds· own 25Q1
UNLVFUM7 pl, 66 yds· own 25Q1
IDAHTD6 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q1
UNLVPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q1
IDAHDOWNS5 pl, 19 yds· own 22Q1
UNLVMISS8 pl, 28 yds· opp 41Q1
IDAHINT4 pl, 10 yds· own 20Q2
UNLVTD5 pl, 64 yds· own 36Q2
IDAHPUNT4 pl, 24 yds· own 37Q2
UNLVTD4 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q2
IDAHPUNT6 pl, 12 yds· own 25Q2
UNLVPUNT3 pl, -7 yds· own 16Q2
IDAHTD5 pl, 50 yds· midfieldQ2
UNLVPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q2
IDAHEND7 pl, 14 yds· own 30Q2
UNLVTD9 pl, 93 yds· own 7Q3
IDAHINT9 pl, 72 yds· own 25Q3
UNLVFG7 pl, 71 yds· own 20Q3
IDAHTD5 pl, 81 yds· own 19Q3
UNLVPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 34Q3
IDAHTD11 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
UNLVTD6 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
IDAHINT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q4
UNLVTD4 pl, 20 yds· opp 20Q4
IDAHINT2 pl, 10 yds· own 25Q4
UNLVMISS6 pl, 0 yds· opp 23Q4
IDAHDOWNS8 pl, 33 yds· own 23Q4
UNLVUncateg7 pl, 18 yds· own 44Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
Tied entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,332 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
50%
UNLV win rate
How often the home team won from here
FAQ
What was the final score of Idaho State vs. UNLV?
Idaho State 31, UNLV 38.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (UNLV) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had UNLV pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.