Kennesaw State vs. Wake Forest: Final Score & Recap
Fri, Aug 29, 11:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KENN | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| WAKE | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (WAKE Elo 1397, KENN Elo 1266) plus home-field advantage. That projects WAKE -7.6 (71% to win) — 10.4 points of value on KENN versus the market line of -18.
Pregame Win Probability
Pick: WAKE · 16 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Offense
Defense
Key matchups · Pro
- KENN pass offense (0.33 PPA) vs. WAKE pass defense (0.10 allowed) — edge KENN.
- KENN rush offense (0.11 PPA) vs. WAKE rush defense (-0.02 allowed) — edge KENN.
- WAKE pass offense (0.25 PPA) vs. KENN pass defense (0.19 allowed) — edge WAKE.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
WAKE up 1 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,678 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Kennesaw State vs. Wake Forest?
Kennesaw State 9, Wake Forest 10.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (WAKE) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
Called it — I had WAKE pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.