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Lafayette vs. Bowling Green: Final Score & Recap
Thu, Aug 28, 10:00 PM
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFA | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| BGSU | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
BGSU (top)LAFA (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: BGSU 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
LAFA 2/11 scoring drives← own end zone →BGSU 5/11 scoring drives
BGSUTD0 pl, 0 yds· own 2Q1
LAFAPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 21Q1
BGSUPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 30Q1
LAFADOWNS9 pl, 42 yds· own 21Q1
BGSUFG17 pl, 51 yds· own 37Q1
LAFAPUNT4 pl, 28 yds· own 25Q2
BGSUPUNT5 pl, 25 yds· own 12Q2
LAFAPUNT3 pl, -4 yds· own 16Q2
BGSUDOWNS10 pl, 40 yds· opp 45Q2
LAFAPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 5Q2
BGSUTD6 pl, 45 yds· opp 45Q2
LAFAEND1 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q2
LAFAPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q3
BGSUFG7 pl, 27 yds· own 35Q3
LAFATD14 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
BGSUFG5 pl, 21 yds· opp 42Q3
LAFADOWNS6 pl, 16 yds· own 38Q3
BGSUPUNT4 pl, 3 yds· own 46Q4
BGSUPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 46Q4
LAFAPUNT6 pl, 11 yds· own 3Q4
BGSUFG8 pl, 53 yds· own 29Q4
LAFAPUNT6 pl, 7 yds· own 24Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
BGSU up 16 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,243 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
96%
BGSU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Lafayette vs. Bowling Green?
Lafayette 7, Bowling Green 26.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (BGSU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had BGSU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.