← All games
Maine vs. Liberty: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 8:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIN | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| LIB | 0 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 28 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
LIB (top)MAIN (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: LIB 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
MAIN 1/12 scoring drives← own end zone →LIB 4/11 scoring drives
LIBMISS18 pl, 47 yds· own 34Q1
MAINDOWNS11 pl, 42 yds· own 20Q1
LIBPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 38Q1
MAINTD1 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q2
LIBPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 30Q2
MAINPUNT8 pl, 17 yds· own 19Q2
LIBPUNT6 pl, 35 yds· own 23Q2
MAINPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 14Q2
LIBPUNT4 pl, 15 yds· own 38Q2
MAINFUM6 pl, 22 yds· own 16Q2
LIBTD3 pl, 38 yds· opp 38Q2
MAINEND1 pl, -1 yds· own 14Q2
MAINPUNT7 pl, 37 yds· own 25Q3
LIBPUNT5 pl, 34 yds· own 2Q3
MAINPUNT7 pl, 39 yds· own 18Q3
LIBDOWNS12 pl, 64 yds· own 6Q3
MAINDOWNS5 pl, 32 yds· own 30Q4
LIBTD6 pl, 62 yds· own 38Q4
MAININT2 pl, 0 yds· own 40Q4
LIBTD10 pl, 48 yds· opp 48Q4
MAINDOWNS4 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q4
LIBTD4 pl, 32 yds· opp 32Q4
MAINEND8 pl, 43 yds· own 25Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
Tied entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,332 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
50%
LIB win rate
How often the home team won from here
FAQ
What was the final score of Maine vs. Liberty?
Maine 7, Liberty 28.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (LIB) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had LIB pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.