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Nicholls vs. Troy: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 11:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NICH | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| TROY | 0 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 38 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
TROY (top)NICH (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: TROY 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
NICH 4/11 scoring drives← own end zone →TROY 6/11 scoring drives
TROYPUNT8 pl, 20 yds· own 21Q1
NICHPUNT9 pl, 27 yds· own 2Q1
TROYPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 16Q1
NICHPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 30Q1
TROYPUNT5 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q1
NICHFG5 pl, 23 yds· own 49Q2
TROYDOWNS9 pl, 34 yds· own 31Q2
NICHTD8 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q2
TROYTD9 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q2
NICHEND2 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q2
NICHTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
TROYFG11 pl, 66 yds· own 28Q3
NICHPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 25Q3
TROYTD10 pl, 58 yds· own 42Q3
NICHFG7 pl, 70 yds· own 25Q4
TROYTD7 pl, 66 yds· own 34Q4
NICHINT4 pl, 12 yds· own 25Q4
TROYTD1 pl, 47 yds· opp 47Q4
NICHPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q4
TROYTD5 pl, 44 yds· opp 44Q4
NICHDOWNS5 pl, 22 yds· own 25Q4
TROYEND1 pl, -1 yds· opp 47Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
NICH up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,299 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
81%
NICH went on to win
A solid but not safe lead
FAQ
What was the final score of Nicholls vs. Troy?
Nicholls 20, Troy 38.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TROY) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had TROY pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.