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Northern Arizona vs. Arizona State: Final Score & Recap
Sun, Aug 31, 2:00 AM
Mountain America Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
| ASU | 14 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 38 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
ASU (top)NORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: ASU 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
NORT 4/13 scoring drives← own end zone →ASU 6/14 scoring drives
NORTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q1
ASUTD5 pl, 49 yds· opp 49Q1
NORTPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 44Q1
ASUTD7 pl, 89 yds· own 11Q1
NORTDOWNS8 pl, 71 yds· own 25Q1
ASUPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 5Q1
NORTFG5 pl, 14 yds· opp 27Q1
ASUPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, 16 yds· own 30Q2
ASUPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 8Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, -4 yds· own 37Q2
ASUFG9 pl, 47 yds· own 34Q2
NORTFG10 pl, 53 yds· own 19Q2
ASUMISS2 pl, 20 yds· own 40Q2
ASUTD5 pl, 76 yds· own 24Q3
NORTTD9 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
ASUPUNT4 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q3
NORTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 19Q3
ASUTD9 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q3
NORTDOWNS11 pl, 33 yds· own 21Q3
ASUDOWNS4 pl, 4 yds· own 46Q4
NORTPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· midfieldQ4
ASUINT5 pl, 29 yds· own 15Q4
NORTINT4 pl, 14 yds· own 33Q4
ASUTD3 pl, 35 yds· opp 35Q4
NORTTD8 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q4
ASUEND1 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
ASU up 18 entering the 4th quarter. Across 838 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
97%
ASU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Northern Arizona vs. Arizona State?
Northern Arizona 19, Arizona State 38.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ASU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had ASU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.