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Portland State vs. BYU: Final Score & Recap
Sun, Aug 31, 12:00 AM
LaVell Edwards Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BYU | 14 | 35 | 6 | 14 | 69 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelPORT 27% · BYU 73%
Market consensusPORT 3% · BYU 97%
Pick: BYU · 25 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
PORT 1/14 scoring drives← own end zone →BYU 10/11 scoring drives
PORTPUNT5 pl, 27 yds· own 25Q1
BYUPUNT5 pl, 21 yds· own 11Q1
PORTPUNT6 pl, 20 yds· own 20Q1
PORTTD4 pl, -2 yds· opp 37Q1
PORTPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q1
BYUTD4 pl, 56 yds· own 44Q1
PORTPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q2
BYUTD7 pl, 48 yds· opp 48Q2
PORTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 17Q2
BYUTD4 pl, 84 yds· own 16Q2
PORTFUM1 pl, -14 yds· own 20Q2
BYUTD2 pl, 6 yds· opp 6Q2
PORTPUNT3 pl, 14 yds· own 25Q2
BYUTD4 pl, 91 yds· own 9Q2
PORTPUNT3 pl, -4 yds· own 25Q2
BYUTD4 pl, 58 yds· own 42Q2
PORTEND2 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q2
BYUFG15 pl, 68 yds· own 25Q3
PORTPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 25Q3
BYUFG6 pl, 12 yds· midfieldQ3
PORTPUNT3 pl, -6 yds· own 25Q3
BYUTD2 pl, 53 yds· own 47Q3
PORTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q4
BYUTD15 pl, 79 yds· own 21Q4
PORTEND3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
BYU up 55 entering the 4th quarter. Across 47 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
BYU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Portland State vs. BYU?
Portland State 0, BYU 69.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (BYU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had BYU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.