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South Dakota vs. Iowa State: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 7:30 PM
Jack Trice Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUT | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| ISU | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 55 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
ISU (top)SOUT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: ISU 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
SOUT 1/9 scoring drives← own end zone →ISU 9/10 scoring drives
ISUTD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
SOUTTD12 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
ISUTD9 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
SOUTINT6 pl, 53 yds· own 25Q1
ISUTD7 pl, 76 yds· own 24Q2
SOUTPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q2
ISUFG11 pl, 52 yds· own 38Q2
SOUTDOWNS10 pl, 44 yds· own 25Q2
ISUFG4 pl, 24 yds· own 31Q2
SOUTPUNT5 pl, 14 yds· own 26Q3
ISUTD4 pl, 33 yds· opp 33Q3
SOUTPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 20Q3
ISUTD2 pl, 24 yds· opp 24Q3
SOUTPUNT6 pl, 10 yds· own 12Q3
ISUTD15 pl, 64 yds· own 36Q3
SOUTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q4
ISUTD8 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q4
SOUTINT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q4
ISUEND5 pl, 37 yds· opp 38Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
ISU up 34 entering the 4th quarter. Across 345 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
ISU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of South Dakota vs. Iowa State?
South Dakota 7, Iowa State 55.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ISU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had ISU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.