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UT Martin vs. Oklahoma State: Final Score & Recap
Thu, Aug 28, 11:30 PM
Boone Pickens Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT M | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| OKST | 14 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelUT M 62% · OKST 38%
Market consensusUT M 9% · OKST 91%
Pick: UT M · 54 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
UT M 1/11 scoring drives← own end zone →OKST 5/11 scoring drives
OKSTTD10 pl, 71 yds· own 29Q1
UT MUncateg7 pl, 34 yds· own 25Q1
OKSTTD9 pl, 93 yds· own 7Q1
UT MTD4 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q1
OKSTPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 14Q1
UT MPUNT4 pl, 11 yds· own 30Q1
OKSTPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 33Q2
UT MPUNT6 pl, 19 yds· own 8Q2
OKSTPUNT4 pl, 8 yds· own 42Q2
UT MPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 15Q2
OKSTFG13 pl, 43 yds· own 32Q2
UT MPUNT4 pl, 17 yds· own 25Q2
OKSTEND4 pl, 12 yds· own 13Q2
UT MPUNT9 pl, 37 yds· own 25Q3
OKSTFG9 pl, 58 yds· own 20Q3
UT MINT12 pl, 49 yds· own 25Q3
OKSTPUNT7 pl, 21 yds· own 8Q4
UT MPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 22Q4
OKSTTD12 pl, 58 yds· own 42Q4
UT MPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q4
OKSTPUNT4 pl, 4 yds· own 30Q4
UT MUncateg1 pl, 0 yds· own 14Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
OKST up 16 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,243 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
96%
OKST went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of UT Martin vs. Oklahoma State?
UT Martin 7, Oklahoma State 27.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked UT M, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I had UT M pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.