← All games
VMI vs. Navy: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 4:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| NAVY | 7 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
NAVY (top)VMI (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: NAVY 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
VMI 1/11 scoring drives← own end zone →NAVY 8/11 scoring drives
VMIPUNT6 pl, 14 yds· own 25Q1
NAVYTD11 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q1
VMIPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 24Q1
NAVYPUNT6 pl, 13 yds· own 47Q1
VMIPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 4Q2
NAVYTD4 pl, 35 yds· opp 35Q2
VMIDOWNS7 pl, 25 yds· own 18Q2
NAVYTD6 pl, 43 yds· opp 43Q2
VMIPUNT6 pl, 18 yds· own 25Q2
NAVYTD6 pl, 78 yds· own 22Q2
VMIEND2 pl, 8 yds· own 25Q2
NAVYFG15 pl, 66 yds· own 23Q3
VMITD1 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
NAVYPUNT4 pl, 11 yds· own 42Q3
VMIPUNT6 pl, 19 yds· own 20Q3
NAVYTD3 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q3
VMIPUNT10 pl, 32 yds· own 25Q3
NAVYTD4 pl, 94 yds· own 6Q4
VMIPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q4
NAVYTD10 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q4
VMIPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 35Q4
NAVYEND2 pl, -4 yds· own 24Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
NAVY up 31 entering the 4th quarter. Across 343 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
NAVY went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of VMI vs. Navy?
VMI 7, Navy 52.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (NAVY) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had NAVY pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.