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Western Illinois vs. Illinois: Final Score & Recap
Fri, Aug 29, 11:30 PM
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| ILL | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 52 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelWEST 34% · ILL 66%
Pick: ILL
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
WEST 2/11 scoring drives← own end zone →ILL 7/10 scoring drives
WESTDOWNS9 pl, 34 yds· own 25Q1
ILLTD8 pl, 59 yds· own 41Q1
WESTFUM1 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q1
ILLTD5 pl, 26 yds· opp 26Q1
WESTPUNT3 pl, -7 yds· own 25Q1
ILLTD7 pl, 51 yds· own 49Q1
WESTDOWNS5 pl, 41 yds· own 25Q2
ILLFG8 pl, 49 yds· own 34Q2
WESTPUNT5 pl, 12 yds· own 25Q2
ILLTD4 pl, 62 yds· own 38Q2
WESTPUNT3 pl, -4 yds· own 25Q2
ILLPUNT3 pl, -12 yds· own 43Q2
WESTEND2 pl, 0 yds· own 40Q2
ILLMISS9 pl, 55 yds· own 35Q3
WESTTD3 pl, 1 yds· own 18Q3
WESTFG16 pl, 73 yds· own 25Q3
ILLTD10 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
WESTPUNT6 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q4
ILLTD2 pl, 67 yds· own 33Q4
WESTPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q4
ILLEND5 pl, 13 yds· opp 34Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
ILL up 38 entering the 4th quarter. Across 183 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
ILL went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Western Illinois vs. Illinois?
Western Illinois 3, Illinois 52.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ILL) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had ILL pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.