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Massachusetts vs. Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Pick
Thu, Sep 3, 10:00 PM
SHI StadiumBTN
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
RUTG 1469
MASS 718
Projected spread
RUTG -36.6
incl. home edge
Model pick
RUTG
100% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
100%
RUTG (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (RUTG Elo 1469, MASS Elo 718) plus home-field advantage. That projects RUTG -36.6 (100% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelMASS 0% · RUTG 100%
Pick: RUTG
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
MASS2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedRUTG
Offense
-0.01
PPA / play
0.2134%
Success rate
47%1.23
Explosiveness
1.222.17
Pts / opportunity
3.3860%
Power success
75%Defense
0.28
PPA allowed / play
0.3148%
Success rate allowed
47%1.18
Explosiveness allowed
1.339%
Havoc rate
12%11%
Stuff rate
19%Key matchups · Pro
- MASS pass offense (0.02 PPA) vs. RUTG pass defense (0.44 allowed) — edge RUTG.
- MASS rush offense (-0.03 PPA) vs. RUTG rush defense (0.26 allowed) — edge RUTG.
- RUTG rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. MASS rush defense (0.20 allowed) — edge MASS.
FAQ
Who will win Massachusetts vs. Rutgers?
Gridpex's model favors Rutgers with a 100% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Massachusetts vs. Rutgers?
The model projects Rutgers by 36.6.
What time is Massachusetts vs. Rutgers and what channel is it on?
Thu, Sep 3, 10:00 PM on BTN, at SHI Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Rutgers at 100% to win, projecting Rutgers by 36.6.