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Youngstown State Penguins vs. Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Pick
Sat, Sep 5, 5:00 PM
Kroger FieldSECN+
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Availability-Adjusted Projection
Availability impact
Model estimateYOUN
No ruled-out starters
UK
- Out Beau Allen (QB)not quantified
Projected spreadUK -1 (no quantifiable change)
Estimates from our player value-over-replacement model (reliable for QBs; softer elsewhere) — a calibrated prior, not a market or backtested figure. Context only, not a betting edge.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelYOUN 47% · UK 53%
Pick: UK
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
FAQ
Who will win Youngstown State Penguins vs. Kentucky?
Gridpex's model favors Kentucky with a 53% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Youngstown State Penguins vs. Kentucky?
The model projects Kentucky by 1.0.
What time is Youngstown State Penguins vs. Kentucky and what channel is it on?
Sat, Sep 5, 5:00 PM on SECN+, at Kroger Field.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Kentucky at 53% to win, projecting Kentucky by 1.0.