South Carolina vs. Florida Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (FLA Elo 1593, SC Elo 1697) plus home-field advantage. That projects FLA +0.8 (48% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Availability-Adjusted Projection
Availability impact
Model estimateNo ruled-out starters
- Out Kahleil Jackson (WR)not quantified
Estimates from our player value-over-replacement model (reliable for QBs; softer elsewhere) — a calibrated prior, not a market or backtested figure. Context only, not a betting edge.
Pregame Win Probability
Pick: SC
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Offense
Defense
Key matchups · Pro
- FLA rush offense (0.14 PPA) vs. SC rush defense (-0.06 allowed) — edge FLA.
- SC pass offense (0.17 PPA) vs. FLA pass defense (0.30 allowed) — edge FLA.
- FLA pass offense (0.17 PPA) vs. SC pass defense (0.25 allowed) — edge SC.
FAQ
Who will win South Carolina vs. Florida?
Gridpex's model favors South Carolina with a 52% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for South Carolina vs. Florida?
The model projects South Carolina by 0.8.
What time is South Carolina vs. Florida and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
I make this South Carolina at 52% to win, projecting South Carolina by 0.8.