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South Carolina vs. Clemson Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
CLEM 1755
SC 1697
Projected spread
CLEM -5.4
incl. home edge
Model pick
CLEM
66% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
66%
CLEM (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (CLEM Elo 1755, SC Elo 1697) plus home-field advantage. That projects CLEM -5.4 (66% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelSC 34% · CLEM 66%
Pick: CLEM
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
SC2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedCLEM
Offense
0.10
PPA / play
0.1937%
Success rate
42%1.35
Explosiveness
1.242.61
Pts / opportunity
3.8062%
Power success
72%Defense
0.09
PPA allowed / play
0.1142%
Success rate allowed
37%1.19
Explosiveness allowed
1.3616%
Havoc rate
20%22%
Stuff rate
23%Key matchups · Pro
- CLEM rush offense (0.10 PPA) vs. SC rush defense (-0.06 allowed) — edge CLEM.
- SC rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. CLEM rush defense (0.03 allowed) — edge SC.
- SC pass offense (0.17 PPA) vs. CLEM pass defense (0.19 allowed) — edge CLEM.
FAQ
Who will win South Carolina vs. Clemson?
Gridpex's model favors Clemson with a 66% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for South Carolina vs. Clemson?
The model projects Clemson by 5.4.
What time is South Carolina vs. Clemson and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC).
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Clemson at 66% to win, projecting Clemson by 5.4.