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Washington State vs. Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Pick
Sat, Sep 12, 4:00 PM
Bill Snyder Family StadiumTNT | HBO Max
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
KSU 1674
WSU 1549
Projected spread
KSU -6.4
incl. home edge
Model pick
KSU
68% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
68%
KSU (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (KSU Elo 1674, WSU Elo 1549) plus home-field advantage. That projects KSU -6.4 (68% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelWSU 32% · KSU 68%
Pick: KSU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
WSU2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedKSU
Offense
0.13
PPA / play
0.2042%
Success rate
41%1.12
Explosiveness
1.393.93
Pts / opportunity
4.1568%
Power success
67%Defense
0.07
PPA allowed / play
0.1340%
Success rate allowed
39%1.09
Explosiveness allowed
1.3314%
Havoc rate
17%18%
Stuff rate
20%Key matchups · Pro
- KSU pass offense (0.25 PPA) vs. WSU pass defense (0.11 allowed) — edge KSU.
- KSU rush offense (0.18 PPA) vs. WSU rush defense (0.08 allowed) — edge KSU.
- WSU pass offense (0.21 PPA) vs. KSU pass defense (0.15 allowed) — edge WSU.
FAQ
Who will win Washington State vs. Kansas State?
Gridpex's model favors Kansas State with a 68% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Washington State vs. Kansas State?
The model projects Kansas State by 6.4.
What time is Washington State vs. Kansas State and what channel is it on?
Sat, Sep 12, 4:00 PM on TNT | HBO Max, at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Kansas State at 68% to win, projecting Kansas State by 6.4.