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Kansas vs. West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Milan Puskar StadiumConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
WVU 1291
KU 1516
Projected spread
WVU +7.6
incl. home edge
Model pick
KU
71% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
29%
WVU (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (WVU Elo 1291, KU Elo 1516) plus home-field advantage. That projects WVU +7.6 (29% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelKU 71% · WVU 29%
Pick: KU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
KU2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedWVU
Offense
0.25
PPA / play
0.0748%
Success rate
37%1.18
Explosiveness
1.233.94
Pts / opportunity
3.5384%
Power success
62%Defense
0.25
PPA allowed / play
0.1642%
Success rate allowed
40%1.43
Explosiveness allowed
1.3818%
Havoc rate
18%22%
Stuff rate
23%Key matchups · Pro
- KU rush offense (0.22 PPA) vs. WVU rush defense (0.02 allowed) — edge KU.
- WVU pass offense (0.20 PPA) vs. KU pass defense (0.39 allowed) — edge KU.
- WVU rush offense (-0.02 PPA) vs. KU rush defense (0.13 allowed) — edge KU.
FAQ
Who will win Kansas vs. West Virginia?
Gridpex's model favors Kansas with a 71% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Kansas vs. West Virginia?
The model projects Kansas by 7.6.
What time is Kansas vs. West Virginia and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Milan Puskar Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Kansas at 71% to win, projecting Kansas by 7.6.