← All games
BYU vs. Kansas Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
KU 1516
BYU 1750
Projected spread
KU +8.3
incl. home edge
Model pick
BYU
73% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
27%
KU (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (KU Elo 1516, BYU Elo 1750) plus home-field advantage. That projects KU +8.3 (27% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelBYU 73% · KU 27%
Pick: BYU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
BYU2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedKU
Offense
0.22
PPA / play
0.2546%
Success rate
48%1.19
Explosiveness
1.184.03
Pts / opportunity
3.9482%
Power success
84%Defense
0.09
PPA allowed / play
0.2539%
Success rate allowed
42%1.22
Explosiveness allowed
1.4316%
Havoc rate
18%21%
Stuff rate
22%Key matchups · Pro
- KU rush offense (0.22 PPA) vs. BYU rush defense (0.06 allowed) — edge KU.
- KU pass offense (0.32 PPA) vs. BYU pass defense (0.18 allowed) — edge KU.
- BYU pass offense (0.28 PPA) vs. KU pass defense (0.39 allowed) — edge KU.
FAQ
Who will win BYU vs. Kansas?
Gridpex's model favors BYU with a 73% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for BYU vs. Kansas?
The model projects BYU by 8.3.
What time is BYU vs. Kansas and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Memorial Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this BYU at 73% to win, projecting BYU by 8.3.