Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Pick

Time TBD

Oklahoma State

Big 12· Elo 1110

Time TBD

West Virginia

Big 12· Elo 1291

Milan Puskar StadiumConference game

Gridpex Model Prediction

Power rating (Elo)

WVU 1291

OKST 1110

Projected spread

WVU -10.2

incl. home edge

Model pick

WVU

78% to win

Market spread

—

sportsbook line

Model edge

None

aligned w/ market

Win prob: model / mkt

78%

WVU (no market)

Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (WVU Elo 1291, OKST Elo 1110) plus home-field advantage. That projects WVU -10.2 (78% to win), essentially in line with the market.

Pregame Win Probability

Gridpex modelOKST 22% · WVU 78%

Pick: WVU

Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.

Advanced Matchup — 2025

OKST2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedWVU

Offense

0.01

PPA / play

0.07

35%

Success rate

37%

1.17

Explosiveness

1.23

2.96

Pts / opportunity

3.53

69%

Power success

62%

Defense

0.28

PPA allowed / play

0.16

45%

Success rate allowed

40%

1.37

Explosiveness allowed

1.38

15%

Havoc rate

18%

20%

Stuff rate

23%

Key matchups · Pro

OKST pass offense (0.07 PPA) vs. WVU pass defense (0.33 allowed) — edge WVU.
WVU pass offense (0.20 PPA) vs. OKST pass defense (0.44 allowed) — edge OKST.
WVU rush offense (-0.02 PPA) vs. OKST rush defense (0.16 allowed) — edge OKST.

FAQ

Who will win Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia?

Gridpex's model favors West Virginia with a 78% win probability.

What's the predicted spread for Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia?

The model projects West Virginia by 10.2.

What time is Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia and what channel is it on?

Time TBD, at Milan Puskar Stadium.

Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.

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Gridiron IQ Model

Pinned · the model's take

I make this West Virginia at 78% to win, projecting West Virginia by 10.2.