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Georgia Tech vs. Stanford Prediction, Odds & Pick
Sun, Sep 27, 2:30 AM
Stanford StadiumESPNConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
STAN 1335
GT 1595
Projected spread
STAN +13.9
incl. home edge
Model pick
GT
85% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
15%
STAN (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (STAN Elo 1335, GT Elo 1595) plus home-field advantage. That projects STAN +13.9 (15% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelGT 85% · STAN 15%
Pick: GT
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
GT2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedSTAN
Offense
0.27
PPA / play
0.0649%
Success rate
36%1.16
Explosiveness
1.203.61
Pts / opportunity
3.0271%
Power success
82%Defense
0.20
PPA allowed / play
0.1744%
Success rate allowed
42%1.25
Explosiveness allowed
1.2914%
Havoc rate
15%19%
Stuff rate
17%Key matchups · Pro
- GT rush offense (0.19 PPA) vs. STAN rush defense (-0.02 allowed) — edge GT.
- STAN rush offense (-0.03 PPA) vs. GT rush defense (0.11 allowed) — edge GT.
- STAN pass offense (0.20 PPA) vs. GT pass defense (0.29 allowed) — edge GT.
FAQ
Who will win Georgia Tech vs. Stanford?
Gridpex's model favors Georgia Tech with a 85% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Georgia Tech vs. Stanford?
The model projects Georgia Tech by 13.9.
What time is Georgia Tech vs. Stanford and what channel is it on?
Sun, Sep 27, 2:30 AM on ESPN, at Stanford Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Georgia Tech at 85% to win, projecting Georgia Tech by 13.9.