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Wisconsin vs. UCLA Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
UCLA 1322
WIS 1502
Projected spread
UCLA +3.2
incl. home edge
Model pick
WIS
59% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
41%
UCLA (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (UCLA Elo 1322, WIS Elo 1502) plus home-field advantage. That projects UCLA +3.2 (41% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelWIS 59% · UCLA 41%
Pick: WIS
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
WIS2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedUCLA
Offense
0.01
PPA / play
0.1235%
Success rate
42%1.23
Explosiveness
1.172.28
Pts / opportunity
2.9866%
Power success
65%Defense
0.19
PPA allowed / play
0.2545%
Success rate allowed
50%1.17
Explosiveness allowed
1.1213%
Havoc rate
12%22%
Stuff rate
14%Key matchups · Pro
- WIS pass offense (0.03 PPA) vs. UCLA pass defense (0.33 allowed) — edge UCLA.
- UCLA pass offense (0.09 PPA) vs. WIS pass defense (0.33 allowed) — edge WIS.
- WIS rush offense (0.04 PPA) vs. UCLA rush defense (0.23 allowed) — edge UCLA.
FAQ
Who will win Wisconsin vs. UCLA?
Gridpex's model favors Wisconsin with a 59% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Wisconsin vs. UCLA?
The model projects Wisconsin by 3.2.
What time is Wisconsin vs. UCLA and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Rose Bowl.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Wisconsin at 59% to win, projecting Wisconsin by 3.2.