Sun, Sep 6, 1:30 AM
Pick: SDSU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Gridpex's model favors San Diego State with a 60% win probability.
The model projects San Diego State by 3.5.
Sun, Sep 6, 1:30 AM on USA Net, at Snapdragon Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
I make this San Diego State at 60% to win, projecting San Diego State by 3.5.