Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM
Pick: MEM
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Gridpex's model favors Memphis with a 62% win probability.
The model projects Memphis by 4.0.
Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM on ESPN+, at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
I make this Memphis at 62% to win, projecting Memphis by 4.0.