← All games
Temple vs. East Carolina Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
ECU 1593
TEM 1219
Projected spread
ECU -16.3
incl. home edge
Model pick
ECU
89% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
89%
ECU (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (ECU Elo 1593, TEM Elo 1219) plus home-field advantage. That projects ECU -16.3 (89% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelTEM 11% · ECU 89%
Pick: ECU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
TEM2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedECU
Offense
0.20
PPA / play
0.2144%
Success rate
46%1.18
Explosiveness
1.184.58
Pts / opportunity
3.7660%
Power success
69%Defense
0.28
PPA allowed / play
0.0946%
Success rate allowed
38%1.26
Explosiveness allowed
1.2815%
Havoc rate
19%14%
Stuff rate
28%Key matchups · Pro
- TEM pass offense (0.35 PPA) vs. ECU pass defense (0.17 allowed) — edge TEM.
- ECU rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. TEM rush defense (0.22 allowed) — edge TEM.
- TEM rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. ECU rush defense (0.02 allowed) — edge TEM.
FAQ
Who will win Temple vs. East Carolina?
Gridpex's model favors East Carolina with a 89% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Temple vs. East Carolina?
The model projects East Carolina by 16.3.
What time is Temple vs. East Carolina and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this East Carolina at 89% to win, projecting East Carolina by 16.3.