← All games
Temple vs. Memphis Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Simmons Bank Liberty StadiumConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
MEM 1540
TEM 1219
Projected spread
MEM -15.2
incl. home edge
Model pick
MEM
87% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
87%
MEM (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (MEM Elo 1540, TEM Elo 1219) plus home-field advantage. That projects MEM -15.2 (87% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelTEM 13% · MEM 87%
Pick: MEM
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
TEM2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedMEM
Offense
0.20
PPA / play
0.2644%
Success rate
45%1.18
Explosiveness
1.334.58
Pts / opportunity
4.4160%
Power success
75%Defense
0.28
PPA allowed / play
0.1946%
Success rate allowed
42%1.26
Explosiveness allowed
1.3115%
Havoc rate
17%14%
Stuff rate
22%Key matchups · Pro
- MEM pass offense (0.23 PPA) vs. TEM pass defense (0.39 allowed) — edge TEM.
- MEM rush offense (0.30 PPA) vs. TEM rush defense (0.22 allowed) — edge MEM.
- TEM rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. MEM rush defense (0.04 allowed) — edge TEM.
FAQ
Who will win Temple vs. Memphis?
Gridpex's model favors Memphis with a 87% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Temple vs. Memphis?
The model projects Memphis by 15.2.
What time is Temple vs. Memphis and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Memphis at 87% to win, projecting Memphis by 15.2.