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Wyoming vs. UNLV Prediction, Odds & Pick
Sun, Nov 8, 3:30 AM
Allegiant StadiumCBSSNConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
UNLV 1622
WYO 1295
Projected spread
UNLV -16.9
incl. home edge
Model pick
UNLV
89% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
89%
UNLV (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (UNLV Elo 1622, WYO Elo 1295) plus home-field advantage. That projects UNLV -16.9 (89% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelWYO 11% · UNLV 89%
Pick: UNLV
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
WYO2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedUNLV
Offense
0.05
PPA / play
0.3038%
Success rate
47%1.17
Explosiveness
1.342.90
Pts / opportunity
4.4556%
Power success
71%Defense
0.07
PPA allowed / play
0.2138%
Success rate allowed
44%1.21
Explosiveness allowed
1.3313%
Havoc rate
15%17%
Stuff rate
17%Key matchups · Pro
- UNLV pass offense (0.37 PPA) vs. WYO pass defense (0.13 allowed) — edge UNLV.
- WYO rush offense (0.02 PPA) vs. UNLV rush defense (0.23 allowed) — edge UNLV.
- UNLV rush offense (0.26 PPA) vs. WYO rush defense (0.09 allowed) — edge UNLV.
FAQ
Who will win Wyoming vs. UNLV?
Gridpex's model favors UNLV with a 89% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Wyoming vs. UNLV?
The model projects UNLV by 16.9.
What time is Wyoming vs. UNLV and what channel is it on?
Sun, Nov 8, 3:30 AM on CBSSN, at Allegiant Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this UNLV at 89% to win, projecting UNLV by 16.9.