James Madison vs. Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Pick

Time TBD

James Madison

Sun Belt· Elo 1905

Time TBD

Old Dominion

Sun Belt· Elo 1670

S.B. Ballard StadiumConference game

Gridpex Model Prediction

Power rating (Elo)

ODU 1670

JMU 1905

Projected spread

ODU +5.3

incl. home edge

Model pick

JMU

65% to win

Market spread

—

sportsbook line

Model edge

None

aligned w/ market

Win prob: model / mkt

35%

ODU (no market)

Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (ODU Elo 1670, JMU Elo 1905) plus home-field advantage. That projects ODU +5.3 (35% to win), essentially in line with the market.

Pregame Win Probability

Gridpex modelJMU 65% · ODU 35%

Pick: JMU

Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.

Advanced Matchup — 2025

JMU2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedODU

Offense

0.21

PPA / play

0.25

45%

Success rate

46%

1.30

Explosiveness

1.30

3.98

Pts / opportunity

3.94

77%

Power success

64%

Defense

0.03

PPA allowed / play

0.03

31%

Success rate allowed

39%

1.43

Explosiveness allowed

1.06

20%

Havoc rate

19%

26%

Stuff rate

21%

Key matchups · Pro

ODU pass offense (0.41 PPA) vs. JMU pass defense (0.10 allowed) — edge ODU.
JMU pass offense (0.29 PPA) vs. ODU pass defense (0.09 allowed) — edge JMU.
JMU rush offense (0.21 PPA) vs. ODU rush defense (0.01 allowed) — edge JMU.

FAQ

Who will win James Madison vs. Old Dominion?

Gridpex's model favors James Madison with a 65% win probability.

What's the predicted spread for James Madison vs. Old Dominion?

The model projects James Madison by 5.3.

What time is James Madison vs. Old Dominion and what channel is it on?

Time TBD, at S.B. Ballard Stadium.

Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.

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Gridiron IQ Model

Pinned · the model's take

I make this James Madison at 65% to win, projecting James Madison by 5.3.