Model-driven college football coverage from the Gridpex desks.
We measured the yard-line head start each team gives itself, then tested it against seasons it had never seen. It adds a sliver to our read on a team — but plain win rate and moving the ball on schedule both call next season better, and most of what makes our stat unique is just luck.
The distance between where a team recruits and how it actually plays can be jaw-dropping, and Army and Florida State are the perfect split-screen. Army signed…
Consider UCLA, which went 5-2 in one-score games but 0-5 in all other games. This disparity suggests that their overall record is propped up by close-game vari…
A handful of teams in 2024 were flat-out better than their records say. Washington is the clearest case. The Huskies finished 5-7 and stayed home for the holid…
In betting, the number you really have to beat is the one the market settles on right before kickoff — the last, sharpest price after all the smart money has h…
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