Al-Jay Henderson is a Explosive Back for Buffalo. Al-Jay's 2024 season ranks in the 20th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 195 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2019 | 213 | 0.470 | 4.7 | 100.1 |
| James Flanders | Tulsa | 2016 | 266 | 0.390 | 4.9 | 103.7 |
| Hassan Haskins | Michigan | 2021 | 280 | 0.380 | 4.8 | 106.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsLafayette | W30-13 | — | 14 | 36 | 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.04 |
| 2 | @Missouri | L0-38 | 14.0 | 7 | 26 | 3.7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.03 |
| 3 | vsMassachusetts | W34-3 | -21.9 | 5 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 21 · Rush Yds 119 · Avg 5.7 · Rush TD 1
| 13 |
| 2.6 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| -0.24 |
| 4 | @Northern Illinois | W23-20 | -3.5 | 11 | 56 | 5.1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.27 |
| 5 | @UConn | L3-47 | 1.5 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.15 |
| 7 | vsToledo | W30-15 | -2.5 | 18 | 142 | 7.9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 8 | vsWestern Michigan | L41-48 | -10.2 | 12 | 97 | 8.1 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 9 | @Ohio | L16-47 | 2.3 | 14 | 81 | 5.8 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 10 | @Akron | W41-30 | -17.9 | 18 | 107 | 5.9 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 12 | vsBall State | W51-48 | -19.8 | 27 | 126 | 4.7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 13 | @Eastern Michigan | W37-20 | -13.3 | 25 | 86 | 3.4 | 1 | 1 | 75 | 1 | 0.20 |
| 14 | vsKent State | W43-7 | -33.0 | 30 | 185 | 6.2 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.20 |
| 1 | vsLiberty | W26-7 | 0.2 | 21 | 119 | 5.7 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 0.36 |
