Buffalo Bulls
Mid-American··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1298
#104
SP+
-7.5
#95
O118/D70
FPI
-13.3
SRS
-14.2
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to play4.8 – 5.2
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
4.8
of 10 games
Bowl odds
29%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
97%
vs Massachusetts
Toughest
2%
vs Penn State
💬Buffalo Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
362.2#85
Yards / play
5.3#102
Passing yards / game
229.0#64
Rushing yards / game
133.2#97
First downs / game
19.4#89
3rd down %
35.8%#103
4th down %
40.0%#122
Time of possession
28:04#119
Defense
Yards allowed / game
344.2#44
Yards / play allowed
4.9#20
Pass yards allowed / game
186.4#23
Rush yards allowed / game
157.8#80
3rd down % allowed
34.4%#27
Sacks
34#22
Tackles for loss
73#55
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-7#112
Takeaways
15#73
Giveaways
22#121
Penalties / game
5.4#40
Penalty yards / game
45.7#34
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1vsUAlbanyThuWk 2@
Florida InternationalSat+3.440%Wk 3@
Penn StateSat+28.62%Wk 4vsRobert MorrisSatWk 5vs
Western MichiganSat+7.529%Wk 6@
ToledoSat+16.311%Wk 7vs
MassachusettsSat-25.697%Wk 8vs
Bowling GreenSat-3.961%Wk 10@
Miami (OH)Wed+6.532%Wk 11@
Ball StateWed-9.175%Wk 12vs
Central MichiganWed-5.065%Wk 13@
AkronFri-5.566%
Florida InternationalSat+3.440%Wk 3@Penn StateSat+28.62%Wk 4vsRobert MorrisSatWk 5vsWestern MichiganSat+7.529%Wk 6@ToledoSat+16.311%Wk 7vsMassachusettsSat-25.697%Wk 8vsBowling GreenSat-3.961%Wk 10@Miami (OH)Wed+6.532%Wk 11@Ball StateWed-9.175%Wk 12vsCentral MichiganWed-5.065%Wk 13@AkronFri-5.566%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
16
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8440
16 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Ervin#474 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8889 | Pickerington, OH |
| Qur'an McNeill#1320 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Milton, MA |
| William Reed#1924 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Oak Park, MI |
| Na'Rod Jarvis#1924 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Chesapeake, VA |
| Bryce Williams#2126 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8478 | Pennington, NJ |
| Aaron Clark#2176 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Philadelphia, PA |
| Matthew Heininger#2176 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Rochester, NY |
| Jack Garbolino#2176 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Princeton, NJ |
| Royce Rogers#2176 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Springfield, OH |
| Anwar Witherspoon Jr.#2313 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Edison, NJ |
| Marco Cate#2313 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Princeton, NJ |
| Aiden Anderson#2620 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Orlando, FL |
| Cam Davis#2620 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Newark, OH |
| Preston Lunsford#2620 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Newark, OH |
| Jamarcus Jones#2805 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8278 | Columbus, OH |
| TJ Sabatucci#2815 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8250 | Canonsburg, PA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 42% | 4.9 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 7.7 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 25% | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 5-3 | 54% | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 33% | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 6-1 | 5-1 | 86% | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 62% | 9.4 | -1.4 |
| 2018 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 71% | 10.9 | -0.9 |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 50% | 6.9 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 17% | 2.3 | -0.3 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).