Brad Roberts is a 2-year Featured Back for Air Force. Brad's 2021 season ranks in the 5th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 284 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
| Donnel Pumphrey | San Diego State | 2016 | 344 | 0.320 | 4.2 | 110.1 |
| Eno Benjamin | Arizona State | 2018 | 316 | 0.330 | 4.6 | 104.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsLafayette | W35-14 | — | 25 | 111 | 4.4 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 2 | @Navy | W23-3 | -8.5 | 29 | 97 | 3.3 | 2 | -0.01 |
| 3 | vsUtah State | L45-49 | 0.1 | 21 | 113 | 5.4 | 0 | 0.12 |
| 4 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 20 · Rush Yds 77 · Avg 3.9 · Rush TD 0
| vsFlorida Atlantic |
| W31-7 |
| -5.2 |
| 13 |
| 77 |
| 5.9 |
| 1 |
| 0.45 |
| 5 | @New Mexico | W38-10 | -18.6 | 29 | 142 | 4.9 | 2 | 0.29 |
| 6 | vsWyoming | W24-14 | 0.6 | 33 | 140 | 4.2 | 1 | 0.01 |
| 7 | @Boise State | W24-17 | 9.4 | 28 | 138 | 4.9 | 2 | 0.37 |
| 8 | vsSan Diego State | L14-20 | 8.3 | 7 | 27 | 3.9 | 0 | -0.20 |
| 10 | vsArmy | L14-21 | 4.7 | 18 | 68 | 3.8 | 0 | 0.01 |
| 11 | @Colorado State | W35-21 | -2.4 | 32 | 151 | 4.7 | 2 | 0.26 |
| 12 | @Nevada | W41-39 | 3.6 | 28 | 117 | 4.2 | 1 | 0.13 |
| 13 | vsUNLV | W48-14 | -13.8 | 16 | 98 | 6.1 | 2 | 0.48 |
| 1 | vsLouisville | W31-28 | 7.8 | 20 | 77 | 3.9 | 0 | -0.03 |
