Brad Roberts is a 2-year Featured Back for Air Force. Brad's 2022 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 321 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donnel Pumphrey | San Diego State | 2016 | 344 | 0.320 | 4.2 | 110.1 |
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Eno Benjamin | Arizona State | 2018 | 316 | 0.330 | 4.6 | 104.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNorthern Iowa | W48-17 | — | 8 | 114 | 14.3 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.82 |
| 2 | vsColorado | W41-10 | -20.4 | 24 | 174 | 7.3 | 3 | — | — | — | 0.50 |
| 3 | @Wyoming | L14-17 | -10.8 | 16 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 37 · Rush Yds 116 · Avg 3.1 · Rush TD 2
| 54 |
| 3.4 |
| 0 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| -0.00 |
| 4 | vsNevada | W48-20 | -22.4 | 20 | 123 | 6.2 | 3 | — | — | — | 0.51 |
| 5 | vsNavy | W13-10 | -7.2 | 23 | 108 | 4.7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.03 |
| 6 | @Utah State | L27-34 | -13.3 | 29 | 136 | 4.7 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.09 |
| 7 | @UNLV | W42-7 | -11.9 | 29 | 144 | 5.0 | 4 | — | — | — | 0.57 |
| 8 | vsBoise State | L14-19 | 5.7 | 25 | 90 | 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.06 |
| 10 | vsArmy | W13-7 | -1.5 | 33 | 135 | 4.1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.04 |
| 11 | vsNew Mexico | W35-3 | -26.9 | 29 | 163 | 5.6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 12 | vsColorado State | W24-12 | -22.2 | 37 | 184 | 5.0 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.24 |
| 13 | @San Diego State | W13-3 | -4.4 | 35 | 187 | 5.3 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.02 |
| 1 | vsBaylor | W30-15 | 11.7 | 37 | 116 | 3.1 | 2 | — | — | — | -0.19 |
