Bug Howard Stats, EPA & Player Profile — North Carolina

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs WR peers

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency73th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.18 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 2.05 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Duke (SP+ 3).

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Quadree Henderson	Pittsburgh	2016	63	0.530	1.6	33.4
DeAndre Hughes	Air Force	2021	60	0.470	1.3	28.2
Keytaon Thompson	Mississippi State	2017	70	0.460	1.2	32.2
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2
Javion Posey	Florida Atlantic	2020	53	0.450	1.4	23.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsSouth Carolina	L13-17	3.4	6	114	19.0	1	40	0.64
2	vsNorth Carolina A&T	W53-14	—	2	37	18.5	0	24	1.12
3	vsIllinois	W48-14	2.7	1	27	27.0	0	27

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

5.5%

Passing plays

12.0%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

3.7%

Passing downs

9.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.89
Passing downs: 0.63
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.76 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Bug Howard

North Carolina

Position: WR
Jersey: #84
Class: —
Height: 6'5"
Hometown: Rochelle, GA

2015 Season

Player board →

Plays

Usage

Last Game

vs BaylorWk 1

EPA 0.5

Rec 3 · Rec Yds 42 · Avg 14.0 · Rec TD 1

#84Bug Howard

2015 Production