Caden Durham is a Explosive Back for LSU. Caden's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 164 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2024 Production
Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.39 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.83 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs South Alabama (SP+ 3).
NIL Market Tier· 2024
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vsNicholls | W44-21 | — | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.27 |
| 3 | @South Carolina | W36-33 | 16.9 | 11 | 98 | 8.9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 4 | vsUCLA | W34-17 | -1.3 | 6 | 14 | 2.3 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 1 | 0.07 |
| 5 | vsSouth Alabama | W42-10 | 2.8 | 7 | 128 | 18.3 | 1 | 3 | 89 | 1 | 1.83 |
| 7 | vsOle Miss | W29-26 | 27.9 | 12 | 37 | 3.1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | -0.28 |
| 8 | @Arkansas | W34-10 | 11.0 | 21 | 101 | 4.8 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 9 | @Texas A&M | L23-38 | 17.0 | 11 | 15 | 1.4 | 0 | 4 | 56 | 0 | -0.17 |
| 11 | vsAlabama | L13-42 | 25.0 | 8 | 63 | 7.9 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 0 | -0.11 |
| 12 | @Florida | L16-27 | 13.8 | 20 | 91 | 4.6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 13 | vsVanderbilt | W24-17 | 4.9 | 14 | 58 | 4.1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 14 | vsOklahoma | W37-17 | 9.5 | 11 | 80 | 7.3 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 1 | vsBaylor | W44-31 | 8.4 | 13 | 60 | 4.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.10 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.20
- Passing downs
- 0.18
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.50 / 0.13
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).