Dev

#12Carson Strong

QB·Nevada·2021 2020

Line value

10.3 pts

Carson Strong is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Nevada. Carson's 2020 season ranks in the 68th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 385 plays — a average rate for the QB.

2020 Production

Passing

247/353

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs QB peers

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)68th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency86th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.65 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs UNLV (SP+ -20).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.4	323.0
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Kaidon Salter	Liberty	2023	486	0.711	14.7	345.6
Malik Cunningham	Louisville	2021	502	0.681	14.7	341.6
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
8	vsWyoming	W37-34	-2.5	37/50	405	3	0	-26	0	0.33
9	@UNLV	W37-19	-19.7	21/27	350	2	0	-18	0	0.65
10	vsUtah State	W34-9	-16.7	36/52	411	3

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

63.2%

Passing plays

98.9%

Rushing plays

7.2%

Standard downs

55.1%

Passing downs

82.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.51
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.37 / -0.39

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

2020 — 2021 · 21 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2020	Nevada	10.3	0.520	—	204.4
2021	Nevada	10.7	0.560	+0.04	298.5

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

Carson Strong

Nevada

Position: QB
Jersey: #12
Class: SO
Ht / Wt: 6'4", 215 lb
Hometown: Vacaville, CA

2020 Season

Player board →

204.4

Total EPA

0.520

EPA / play

385

Plays

63%

Usage

#11

Pos rank

Last Game

vs TulaneWk 1

EPA 0.6

C/ATT 22/28 · Pass Yds 271 · Pass TD 5 · INT 0