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Ryan Higgins

#14Ryan Higgins

Line value
13.7 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 2 (Rds 2–3)· model estimate based on position rank

Ryan Higgins is a Dual-Threat QB for Louisiana Tech. Ryan's 2016 season ranks in the 80th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 578 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

2016 Production

Passing
329/496 Comp/Att4617 Pass yards41 Pass TD8 INT66.3% Comp %
Rushing
277 Rush yards4 Rush TD88 Carries3.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)80th %ile · above avg
Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Above-average efficiency for the QB position (80th percentile).
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.00 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Rice (SP+ -17).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
J.T. BarrettOhio State20175760.59314.1341.6
Baker MayfieldOklahoma20155770.56114.1323.7
Michael Penix Jr.Washington20235880.65014.2382.2
Bailey ZappeWestern Kentucky20216200.60013.3372.0
Will HowardOhio State20245650.67014.5378.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 2 vs South Carolina State: +0.33 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Texas Tech: +0.52 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.34 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs UTEP: +0.50 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Western Kentucky: +0.73 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Massachusetts: +0.66 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Florida International: +0.31 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Rice: +1.00 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs North Texas: +0.58 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs UTSA: +0.53 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Southern Miss: +0.10 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Western Kentucky: +0.36 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Navy: +0.66 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
2vsSouth Carolina StateW53-2434/524094276.71700.33
3@Texas TechL45-593.720/323113064.15700.52
4@Middle TennesseeL34-38-1.936/595043074.71400.34
5vsUTEPW28-7-16.119/281912090.24210.50
6vsWestern KentuckyW55-5215.533/454545094.83100.73
7@MassachusettsW56-28-15.326/334845191.4-500.66
8@Florida InternationalW44-24-19.022/302692071.41310.31
9vsRiceW61-16-16.518/252922099.710611.00
10@North TexasW45-24-14.618/302534190.65000.58
11vsUTSAW63-35-11.217/262934092.4700.53
13@Southern MissL24-390.722/392460331.1-1500.10
14@Western KentuckyL44-5815.535/575023162.3-3300.36
1vsNavyW48-456.829/404094088.5-710.66

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
63.0%
Passing plays
96.6%
Rushing plays
18.5%
Standard downs
57.3%
Passing downs
78.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.41
Passing downs
0.65
Pass / Rush EPA
0.52 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2016 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.