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NFL Draft Outlook1st Round· model estimate based on position rank
Dane Kinamon is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Air Force. Dane's 2021 season produced 16.0 total EPA across 43 plays.
Dane Kinamon is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Air Force. Dane's 2021 season produced 16.0 total EPA across 43 plays.
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JoJo Natson | Utah State | 2014 | 51 | 0.390 | 1.0 | 19.9 |
| Micah Davis | Air Force | 2021 | 44 | 0.370 | 0.6 | 16.3 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Virginia | 2021 | 41 | 0.370 | 0.6 | 15.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Isaiah Williams | Illinois | 2020 | 59 | 0.380 | 1.2 | 22.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @Navy | W23-3 | -8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | -0.45 |
| 3 | vsUtah State | L45-49 | 0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 |
| 4 | vsFlorida Atlantic | W31-7 | -5.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Rec 3 · Rec Yds 40 · Avg 13.3 · Rec TD 0
| -0.27 |
| 5 | @New Mexico | W38-10 | -18.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.49 |
| 6 | vsWyoming | W24-14 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.21 |
| 7 | @Boise State | W24-17 | 9.4 | — | — | — | — | — | -1.25 |
| 8 | vsSan Diego State | L14-20 | 8.3 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | 1.14 |
| 10 | vsArmy | L14-21 | 4.7 | 4 | 66 | 16.5 | 1 | 23 | 1.20 |
| 11 | @Colorado State | W35-21 | -2.4 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 1 | 20 | 1.18 |
| 12 | @Nevada | W41-39 | 3.6 | — | — | — | — | — | -0.02 |
| 1 | vsLouisville | W31-28 | 7.8 | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 0 | 15 | 0.93 |