Dez Fitzpatrick is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Louisville. Dez's 2017 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 65 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsPurdue | W35-28 | 5.8 | 4 | 95 | 23.8 | 1 | 39 | 1.64 |
| 2 | @North Carolina | W47-35 | 4.3 | 4 | 78 | 19.5 | 2 | 30 | 3.10 |
| 3 | vsClemson | L21-47 | 26.4 | 2 | 38 | 19.0 | 1 | 30 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Rec 2 · Rec Yds 37 · Avg 18.5 · Rec TD 1
| 0.91 |
| 4 | vsKent State | W42-3 | -20.2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 17 | 1.05 |
| 5 | vsMurray State | W55-10 | — | 4 | 45 | 11.3 | 2 | 15 | 0.65 |
| 6 | @NC State | L25-39 | 12.9 | 10 | 134 | 13.4 | 0 | 27 | 0.40 |
| 7 | vsBoston College | L42-45 | 4.6 | 7 | 127 | 18.1 | 1 | 48 | 0.93 |
| 8 | @Florida State | W31-28 | 22.8 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 | -0.17 |
| 9 | @Wake Forest | L32-42 | 10.5 | 5 | 56 | 11.2 | 0 | 17 | 0.58 |
| 11 | vsVirginia | W38-21 | 0.8 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | -0.95 |
| 12 | vsSyracuse | W56-10 | 4.0 | 3 | 51 | 17.0 | 1 | 29 | 1.08 |
| 13 | @Kentucky | W44-17 | 2.7 | 2 | 37 | 18.5 | 1 | 29 | 0.45 |